Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| partnered | 73 | < 0.01 | |
| student | -9 | < 0.01 | |
| trusting | -13 | < 0.01 | |
| Democratic Socialist | -58 | < 0.01 | |
| Houston Texans fan | -12 | < 0.01 | |
| The Twilight Zone fan | -39 | < 0.01 | |
| paleo | -30 | 0.01 | |
| grandparent | -31 | 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -38 | 0.01 | |
| drone operator | -10 | 0.01 | |
| contemplative | -49 | 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 46 | 0.01 | |
| Virgo | -34 | 0.01 | |
| Aries | -26 | 0.01 | |
| police officer | -18 | 0.01 | |
| frequent flyer | -37 | 0.01 | |
| Taoist | 11 | 0.02 | |
| LinkedIn user | -53 | 0.02 | |
| homeschooling parent | 29 | 0.02 | |
| New York Mets fan | -28 | 0.02 | |
| aunt | 31 | 0.02 | |
| junior | -4 | 0.02 | |
| union member | -30 | 0.02 | |
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -8 | 0.02 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| maga | 74 | 0.81 | |
| partnered | 73 | < 0.01 | |
| 🙏 | -65 | 0.07 | |
| Democratic Socialist | -58 | < 0.01 | |
| LinkedIn user | -53 | 0.02 | |
| The Beatles fan | 52 | 0.03 | |
| secular | 51 | 0.04 | |
| contemplative | -49 | 0.01 | |
| technophile | -47 | 0.02 | |
| trivia buff | 46 | 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -45 | 0.04 | |
| respected | -45 | 0.10 | |
| mystery fan | 45 | 0.05 | |
| 🤒 | 44 | 0.08 | |
| leftist | 42 | 0.05 | |
| risk-seeking | 40 | 0.02 | |
| The Twilight Zone fan | -39 | < 0.01 | |
| comedy fan | -38 | 0.05 | |
| accelerationist | -38 | 0.01 | |
| 😍 | 38 | 0.06 | |
| unorganized | -37 | 0.05 | |
| frequent flyer | -37 | 0.01 | |
| sarcastic | 34 | 0.11 | |
| mother | 34 | 0.11 |
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