Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -3 | < 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -8 | < 0.01 | |
| Scorpio | -8 | < 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -15 | < 0.01 | |
| preppy | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| gamer | -5 | < 0.01 | |
| Chicago Bears fan | 5 | 0.01 | |
| computer geek | -13 | 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 13 | 0.01 | |
| apolitical | -2 | 0.01 | |
| Presbyterian | -5 | 0.01 | |
| frequent flyer | -8 | 0.01 | |
| customer service representative | -7 | 0.02 | |
| dog person | 13 | 0.02 | |
| public transit rider | 10 | 0.02 | |
| Buddhist | -4 | 0.02 | |
| woodworker | -6 | 0.02 | |
| voter | 3 | 0.02 | |
| drone operator | -2 | 0.02 | |
| Miami Heat fan | 3 | 0.03 | |
| trader | -9 | 0.03 | |
| New York Mets fan | -6 | 0.03 | |
| chef | -7 | 0.03 | |
| guitar player | -8 | 0.03 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| caregiver | -15 | < 0.01 | |
| computer geek | -13 | 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 13 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 13 | 0.02 | |
| leftist | 11 | 0.03 | |
| marvel fan | -11 | 0.03 | |
| fiscal conservative | -11 | 0.03 | |
| parent | -10 | 0.08 | |
| caffeine addict | -10 | 0.06 | |
| preppy | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| risk-taking | 10 | 0.05 | |
| he/him | -10 | 0.07 | |
| public transit rider | 10 | 0.02 | |
| overthinker | 10 | 0.07 | |
| beautiful | -10 | 0.06 | |
| 🙏 | 9 | 0.17 | |
| bold | 9 | 0.07 | |
| foodie | -9 | 0.09 | |
| quiet | -9 | 0.10 | |
| The Rolling Stones fan | 9 | 0.07 | |
| science fiction fan | -9 | 0.12 | |
| data nerd | -9 | 0.11 | |
| 🥶 | 9 | 0.10 | |
| aspiring artist | 8 | 0.04 |
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