Ipseity Daily
Work in Progress: This part of the site isn’t finished yet.
Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| homeowner | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| dreamer | 2 | < 0.01 | |
| Virgo | -5 | < 0.01 | |
| compassionate | 4 | < 0.01 | |
| artistic | 6 | < 0.01 | |
| Independent | -9 | 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -4 | 0.01 | |
| preppy | 6 | 0.01 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers fan | 6 | 0.01 | |
| sports card collector | 4 | 0.01 | |
| The Office fan | -5 | 0.01 | |
| designer | -6 | 0.01 | |
| neurodivergent | 5 | 0.01 | |
| junior | 1 | 0.01 | |
| public transit rider | 7 | 0.01 | |
| employed | -5 | 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 9 | 0.01 | |
| fiscal conservative | -8 | 0.01 | |
| Pentecostal | 2 | 0.01 | |
| woodworker | -4 | 0.02 | |
| data nerd | -8 | 0.02 | |
| Phoenix Suns fan | -3 | 0.02 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| trivia buff | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 9 | 0.01 | |
| Independent | -9 | 0.01 | |
| data nerd | -8 | 0.02 | |
| leftist | 8 | 0.02 | |
| fiscal conservative | -8 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 8 | 0.03 | |
| amateur chef | 7 | 0.05 | |
| caregiver | -7 | 0.03 | |
| spontaneous | 7 | 0.04 | |
| public transit rider | 7 | 0.01 | |
| bold | 7 | 0.05 | |
| cat person | 7 | 0.06 | |
| sensitive | 7 | 0.04 | |
| star wars nerd | 6 | 0.02 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers fan | 6 | 0.01 | |
| sister | -6 | 0.10 | |
| nba fan | -6 | 0.06 | |
| designer | -6 | 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -6 | 0.10 | |
| planner | -6 | 0.08 | |
| 2a supporter | -6 | 0.09 | |
| AI enthusiast | -5 | 0.11 | |
| parent | -5 | 0.14 |
Intrigued? Subscribe to my once-weekly-or-less email newsletter for updates on my research.