Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| student | -5 | < 0.01 | |
| technophile | -24 | < 0.01 | |
| foodie | -28 | < 0.01 | |
| drone operator | -4 | 0.01 | |
| paleo | -11 | 0.01 | |
| working parent | -24 | 0.01 | |
| gamer | -8 | 0.01 | |
| frequent flyer | -15 | 0.01 | |
| freshman | -4 | 0.01 | |
| Seattle Seahawks fan | 8 | 0.01 | |
| photographer | 20 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 23 | 0.01 | |
| voter | 7 | 0.01 | |
| Aries | -9 | 0.02 | |
| accelerationist | -14 | 0.02 | |
| nationalist | -16 | 0.02 | |
| Portland Trail Blazers fan | -6 | 0.02 | |
| brother | 13 | 0.02 | |
| Buddhist | -8 | 0.02 | |
| police officer | -6 | 0.02 | |
| parent | -22 | 0.03 | |
| Communist | -9 | 0.03 | |
| fiscal conservative | -20 | 0.03 | |
| old | 12 | 0.03 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| foodie | -28 | < 0.01 | |
| working parent | -24 | 0.01 | |
| technophile | -24 | < 0.01 | |
| dog person | 23 | 0.01 | |
| parent | -22 | 0.03 | |
| science fiction fan | -21 | 0.05 | |
| fiscal conservative | -20 | 0.03 | |
| computer geek | -20 | 0.03 | |
| photographer | 20 | 0.01 | |
| mystery fan | 19 | 0.04 | |
| solitary | -18 | 0.04 | |
| quiet | -18 | 0.04 | |
| fan | 18 | 0.05 | |
| partnered | 18 | 0.07 | |
| leader | -18 | 0.04 | |
| mother | 17 | 0.08 | |
| nationalist | -16 | 0.02 | |
| AI enthusiast | -16 | 0.10 | |
| agnostic | 16 | 0.08 | |
| wife | 16 | 0.08 | |
| The Simpsons fan | 16 | 0.09 | |
| secular | 15 | 0.15 | |
| 😍 | 15 | 0.05 | |
| environmentalist | 15 | 0.12 |
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