Ipseity Daily
Work in Progress: This part of the site isn’t finished yet.
Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -3 | < 0.01 | |
| Scorpio | -8 | < 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -7 | < 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -13 | < 0.01 | |
| leftist | 14 | < 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -12 | 0.01 | |
| preppy | 8 | 0.01 | |
| chef | -7 | 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 11 | 0.01 | |
| Buddhist | -4 | 0.01 | |
| New York Mets fan | -5 | 0.01 | |
| Los Angeles Clippers fan | 6 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 12 | 0.01 | |
| computer geek | -11 | 0.02 | |
| artistic | 7 | 0.02 | |
| Detroit Lions fan | -3 | 0.02 | |
| Independent | -9 | 0.02 | |
| Phoenix Suns fan | -5 | 0.02 | |
| deaf | 3 | 0.02 | |
| Seattle Seahawks fan | 4 | 0.02 | |
| risk-taking | 10 | 0.02 | |
| gamer | -3 | 0.02 | |
| fiscal conservative | -10 | 0.02 | |
| Miami Heat fan | 3 | 0.03 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| leftist | 14 | < 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -13 | < 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -12 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 12 | 0.01 | |
| trivia buff | 11 | 0.01 | |
| parent | -11 | 0.04 | |
| computer geek | -11 | 0.02 | |
| risk-taking | 10 | 0.02 | |
| caffeine addict | -10 | 0.03 | |
| Reddit user | -10 | 0.03 | |
| fiscal conservative | -10 | 0.02 | |
| Independent | -9 | 0.02 | |
| data nerd | -9 | 0.06 | |
| science fiction fan | -9 | 0.08 | |
| quiet | -9 | 0.06 | |
| engaged | -9 | 0.04 | |
| exhausted | 8 | 0.09 | |
| alumni | 8 | 0.13 | |
| preppy | 8 | 0.01 | |
| organized | 8 | 0.07 | |
| 🙏 | 8 | 0.20 | |
| risk-seeking | 7 | 0.07 | |
| artistic | 7 | 0.02 | |
| bold | 7 | 0.13 |
Intrigued? Subscribe to my once-weekly-or-less email newsletter for updates on my research.