Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| trivia buff | 14 | < 0.01 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers fan | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| Scorpio | -7 | < 0.01 | |
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -6 | < 0.01 | |
| artistic | 8 | < 0.01 | |
| chef | -7 | < 0.01 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers fan | 6 | 0.01 | |
| decisive | -7 | 0.01 | |
| Independent | -10 | 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -11 | 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -11 | 0.01 | |
| unemployed | 6 | 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 10 | 0.01 | |
| Virgo | -6 | 0.01 | |
| engaged | -9 | 0.01 | |
| activist | -7 | 0.02 | |
| dog person | 10 | 0.02 | |
| aspiring artist | 7 | 0.02 | |
| fiscal conservative | -9 | 0.02 | |
| designer | -6 | 0.02 | |
| Phoenix Suns fan | -4 | 0.02 | |
| woodworker | -5 | 0.02 | |
| Detroit Lions fan | -3 | 0.02 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| trivia buff | 14 | < 0.01 | |
| caregiver | -11 | 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -11 | 0.01 | |
| dog person | 10 | 0.02 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers fan | 10 | < 0.01 | |
| Independent | -10 | 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 10 | 0.01 | |
| parent | -10 | 0.03 | |
| alumni | 10 | 0.03 | |
| engaged | -9 | 0.01 | |
| fiscal conservative | -9 | 0.02 | |
| data nerd | -9 | 0.03 | |
| amateur chef | 9 | 0.05 | |
| leftist | 8 | 0.04 | |
| caffeine addict | -8 | 0.05 | |
| artistic | 8 | < 0.01 | |
| 2a supporter | -8 | 0.05 | |
| spontaneous | 8 | 0.06 | |
| exhausted | 8 | 0.07 | |
| sister | -8 | 0.10 | |
| procrastinator | 7 | 0.08 | |
| sensitive | 7 | 0.07 | |
| chef | -7 | < 0.01 | |
| activist | -7 | 0.02 |
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