Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| male | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -1 | < 0.01 | |
| homeowner | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| anxious | 2 | < 0.01 | |
| dreamer | 1 | < 0.01 | |
| singer | 5 | < 0.01 | |
| beautiful | 7 | < 0.01 | |
| beer lover | -1 | < 0.01 | |
| investor | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| unemployed | 3 | < 0.01 | |
| Anarchist | 3 | < 0.01 | |
| niece | 4 | < 0.01 | |
| gay | 2 | < 0.01 | |
| artist | 1 | < 0.01 | |
| widow | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 5 | 0.01 | |
| Pentecostal | 2 | 0.01 | |
| urbane | 4 | 0.01 | |
| construction worker | -1 | 0.01 | |
| IT specialist | -3 | 0.01 | |
| American | < 1 | 0.01 | |
| AI creator | 1 | 0.01 | |
| Orlando Magic fan | -2 | 0.01 | |
| police officer | -1 | 0.01 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| beautiful | 7 | < 0.01 | |
| singer | 5 | < 0.01 | |
| overthinker | 5 | 0.01 | |
| COVID survivor | 5 | 0.03 | |
| she/her | 5 | 0.02 | |
| leftist | 4 | 0.02 | |
| spontaneous | 4 | 0.03 | |
| Disney fan | 4 | 0.03 | |
| urbane | 4 | 0.01 | |
| gardener | 4 | 0.02 | |
| amateur artist | 4 | 0.03 | |
| iPhone user | 4 | 0.06 | |
| 2a supporter | -4 | 0.04 | |
| modest | -4 | 0.02 | |
| planner | -3 | 0.06 | |
| IT specialist | -3 | 0.01 | |
| data nerd | -3 | 0.08 | |
| social conservative | -3 | 0.07 | |
| computer geek | -3 | 0.08 | |
| single | -3 | 0.11 | |
| Instagram user | -3 | 0.11 | |
| star wars fan | -3 | 0.16 | |
| fiscal conservative | -3 | 0.12 | |
| traditional | -3 | 0.17 |
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