Ipseity Daily
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Research Question
Which identities have seen the strongest change over time?
Methods
- How many US adults per 10,000 would answer Yes when asked: Does
signifierdescribe you today? That number is the prevalence of the signifier. - I estimate the prevalence of
signifiersat many points in time. - I can only afford noisy daily estimates, but that's OK. Trends will reveal themselves as data accumulates.
- I use a very simple model: linear regression predicting daily change in prevalence.
Results
Trends of Highest Confidence
(A low value of p means the estimate is statistically reliable.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| frequent flyer | -14 | < 0.01 | |
| gamer | -7 | < 0.01 | |
| accelerationist | -10 | < 0.01 | |
| technophile | -15 | < 0.01 | |
| freshman | -2 | < 0.01 | |
| drone operator | -3 | < 0.01 | |
| foodie | -19 | 0.01 | |
| student | -2 | 0.01 | |
| science fiction fan | -19 | 0.01 | |
| heartbroken | 8 | 0.01 | |
| Scorpio | -9 | 0.01 | |
| MAGA (Make America Great Again) | -3 | 0.01 | |
| New York Mets fan | -8 | 0.01 | |
| customer service representative | -9 | 0.01 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays fan | 4 | 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -16 | 0.01 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers fan | 8 | 0.02 | |
| fiscal conservative | -15 | 0.02 | |
| computer geek | -15 | 0.02 | |
| working parent | -15 | 0.02 | |
| Arizona Cardinals fan | -2 | 0.02 | |
| Capricorn | -9 | 0.02 | |
| aspiring artist | 11 | 0.02 | |
| beautiful | -13 | 0.02 |
Most Extreme Trends
(Be careful; these can be driven by short-term trends or low observation count.)
| Signifier | Trend | Change | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| foodie | -19 | 0.01 | |
| science fiction fan | -19 | 0.01 | |
| marvel fan | -16 | 0.01 | |
| working parent | -15 | 0.02 | |
| technophile | -15 | < 0.01 | |
| computer geek | -15 | 0.02 | |
| fiscal conservative | -15 | 0.02 | |
| AI enthusiast | -15 | 0.03 | |
| leftist | 14 | 0.03 | |
| frequent flyer | -14 | < 0.01 | |
| dog person | 14 | 0.04 | |
| organized | 13 | 0.03 | |
| beautiful | -13 | 0.02 | |
| The Simpsons fan | 13 | 0.04 | |
| son | 12 | 0.06 | |
| unorganized | -12 | 0.03 | |
| researcher | 12 | 0.08 | |
| caregiver | -11 | 0.08 | |
| aspiring artist | 11 | 0.02 | |
| risk-taking | 11 | 0.09 | |
| gambler | 11 | 0.06 | |
| photographer | 11 | 0.07 | |
| risk-seeking | 10 | 0.06 | |
| relaxed | 10 | 0.07 |
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