Computational Social Science of Emerging Realities

Research Updates
from Virtual CSSERG

Computational social science, developed one documented iteration at a time.

Research focus / Predict the Self

Predicting change is harder than repeating the past.

An extractive method for forecasting later self-descriptions still predicts too much textual continuity.

The public development scorecard shows mixed performance across metrics. Development data informed the method, and private test results remain pending. These are provisional findings, not a general claim about the predictability of identity.

Read the research

From the lab notebook

Infrastructure / September 15, 2026

A lab that keeps its promises

VCSSERG v1 checks the distance between documentation and implementation. The lab now has four public Scholar profiles, and an explicit migration runbook defines how its growing research dialogs will remain usable.

Open the v1 summary →

Paused project / NFL Team Fandom Identities

Fandom, happiness, and the right comparison

In a verified archive, happy endorsement is 83.23% among Browns-fan respondent-days versus 76.55% among explicit non-fans. The PI paused further work on September 15; the published evidence remains available. Read the results and provenance audit →