Ryerson Project Ryerson Project

Ryerson Project Item 3

I believe most people can be trusted.

American adults' average (mean) response was 4.85 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 830 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-01 to 2026-08-06.

Descriptive Statistics

Mean4.85
Median5.00
Standard deviation2.33
N830
Standard error0.081

All-Time Distribution

Response 0: 50 Response 1: 27 Response 2: 61 Response 3: 92 Response 4: 94 Response 5: 164 Response 6: 135 Response 7: 108 Response 8: 61 Response 9: 27 Response 10: 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 164 Response value Count

Comparison to Other Items

Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 92 out of 123 qualifying items and is at the 25.4 percentile.

Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.

Monthly Trend

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0% 50% 100% 0 5 10 2026-05 response 0: 6.7% 2026-05 response 1: 2.8% 2026-05 response 2: 7.2% 2026-05 response 3: 9.2% 2026-05 response 4: 11.7% 2026-05 response 5: 20.3% 2026-05 response 6: 15.8% 2026-05 response 7: 13.9% 2026-05 response 8: 6.9% 2026-05 response 9: 3.9% 2026-05 response 10: 1.7% 2026-06 response 0: 5.0% 2026-06 response 1: 3.6% 2026-06 response 2: 7.7% 2026-06 response 3: 13.3% 2026-06 response 4: 10.2% 2026-06 response 5: 19.6% 2026-06 response 6: 18.0% 2026-06 response 7: 10.5% 2026-06 response 8: 8.0% 2026-06 response 9: 2.8% 2026-06 response 10: 1.4% 2026-07 response 0: 9.0% 2026-07 response 1: 4.5% 2026-07 response 2: 7.9% 2026-07 response 3: 10.1% 2026-07 response 4: 14.6% 2026-07 response 5: 16.9% 2026-07 response 6: 11.2% 2026-07 response 7: 19.1% 2026-07 response 8: 4.5% 2026-07 response 9: 2.2% 2026-07 response 10: 0.0% 2026-08 response 0: 0.0% 2026-08 response 1: 0.0% 2026-08 response 2: 0.0% 2026-08 response 3: 10.5% 2026-08 response 4: 10.5% 2026-08 response 5: 26.3% 2026-08 response 6: 15.8% 2026-08 response 7: 15.8% 2026-08 response 8: 15.8% 2026-08 response 9: 5.3% 2026-08 response 10: 0.0% May 2026 Jun 2026 Jul 2026 Aug 2026 Observation month Percent of responses Monthly mean

Observed Trend

Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-01 to 2026-08-06. The estimated change over that period is -0.272 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-0.922, 0.377].
Regression table

The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -1.025 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-3.470, 1.421]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.

Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-4.9540 -1.8081  0.1442  1.3147  5.2115 

Coefficients:
                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
(Intercept)       4.956810   0.149878  33.072   <2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.002806   0.003411  -0.823    0.411    
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 2.33 on 828 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.0008165,	Adjusted R-squared:  -0.0003903 
F-statistic: 0.6766 on 1 and 828 DF,  p-value: 0.411