Ryerson Project Ryerson Project

Ryerson Project Item 140

If scientists determine Artificial General Intelligence can be built, it should be built. (Artificial General Intelligence refers to a computer system that could learn to complete any intellectual task that a human being could.)

American adults' average (mean) response was 4.51 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 921 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-11 to 2026-08-06.

Descriptive Statistics

Mean4.51
Median5.00
Standard deviation2.85
N921
Standard error0.094

All-Time Distribution

Response 0: 126 Response 1: 46 Response 2: 73 Response 3: 89 Response 4: 78 Response 5: 178 Response 6: 97 Response 7: 81 Response 8: 83 Response 9: 23 Response 10: 47 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 178 Response value Count

Comparison to Other Items

Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 96 out of 123 qualifying items and is at the 22.1 percentile.

Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.

Monthly Trend

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0% 50% 100% 0 5 10 2026-05 response 0: 10.8% 2026-05 response 1: 5.6% 2026-05 response 2: 8.0% 2026-05 response 3: 10.8% 2026-05 response 4: 9.6% 2026-05 response 5: 15.7% 2026-05 response 6: 10.0% 2026-05 response 7: 10.4% 2026-05 response 8: 10.8% 2026-05 response 9: 1.6% 2026-05 response 10: 6.4% 2026-06 response 0: 13.6% 2026-06 response 1: 4.5% 2026-06 response 2: 7.6% 2026-06 response 3: 8.8% 2026-06 response 4: 7.3% 2026-06 response 5: 22.0% 2026-06 response 6: 11.3% 2026-06 response 7: 6.2% 2026-06 response 8: 10.7% 2026-06 response 9: 3.7% 2026-06 response 10: 4.2% 2026-07 response 0: 14.6% 2026-07 response 1: 4.7% 2026-07 response 2: 8.7% 2026-07 response 3: 9.8% 2026-07 response 4: 9.4% 2026-07 response 5: 20.5% 2026-07 response 6: 9.8% 2026-07 response 7: 11.4% 2026-07 response 8: 5.5% 2026-07 response 9: 1.2% 2026-07 response 10: 4.3% 2026-08 response 0: 21.9% 2026-08 response 1: 6.2% 2026-08 response 2: 6.2% 2026-08 response 3: 9.4% 2026-08 response 4: 6.2% 2026-08 response 5: 14.1% 2026-08 response 6: 10.9% 2026-08 response 7: 6.2% 2026-08 response 8: 6.2% 2026-08 response 9: 4.7% 2026-08 response 10: 7.8% May 2026 Jun 2026 Jul 2026 Aug 2026 Observation month Percent of responses Monthly mean

Observed Trend

Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-11 to 2026-08-06. The estimated change over that period is -0.594 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-1.215, 0.027].
Regression table

The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -2.494 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-5.101, 0.112]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.

Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-4.7796 -2.3084  0.3707  2.2409  5.8009 

Coefficients:
                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
(Intercept)       4.786411   0.175788  27.228   <2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.006829   0.003636  -1.878   0.0606 .  
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 2.844 on 919 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.003825,	Adjusted R-squared:  0.002741 
F-statistic: 3.529 on 1 and 919 DF,  p-value: 0.06064