Ryerson Project Ryerson Project

Ryerson Project Item 140

If scientists determine Artificial General Intelligence can be built, it should be built. (Artificial General Intelligence refers to a computer system that could learn to complete any intellectual task that a human being could.)

American adults' average (mean) response was 4.46 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 1,833 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-11 to 2026-10-27.

Descriptive Statistics

Mean4.46
Median5.00
Standard deviation2.90
N1,833
Standard error0.068

All-Time Distribution

Response 0: 278 Response 1: 92 Response 2: 140 Response 3: 154 Response 4: 155 Response 5: 377 Response 6: 164 Response 7: 176 Response 8: 146 Response 9: 55 Response 10: 96 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 377 Agreement (0 = maximum disagreement, 10 = maximum agreement) Count

Comparison to Other Items

Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 111 out of 142 qualifying items and is at the 22.0 percentile.

Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.

Monthly Trend

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0% 50% 100% 0 5 10 2026-05 response 0: 10.8% 2026-05 response 1: 5.6% 2026-05 response 2: 8.0% 2026-05 response 3: 10.8% 2026-05 response 4: 9.6% 2026-05 response 5: 15.7% 2026-05 response 6: 10.0% 2026-05 response 7: 10.4% 2026-05 response 8: 10.8% 2026-05 response 9: 1.6% 2026-05 response 10: 6.4% 2026-06 response 0: 13.6% 2026-06 response 1: 4.5% 2026-06 response 2: 7.6% 2026-06 response 3: 8.8% 2026-06 response 4: 7.3% 2026-06 response 5: 22.0% 2026-06 response 6: 11.3% 2026-06 response 7: 6.2% 2026-06 response 8: 10.7% 2026-06 response 9: 3.7% 2026-06 response 10: 4.2% 2026-07 response 0: 14.6% 2026-07 response 1: 4.7% 2026-07 response 2: 8.7% 2026-07 response 3: 9.8% 2026-07 response 4: 9.4% 2026-07 response 5: 20.5% 2026-07 response 6: 9.8% 2026-07 response 7: 11.4% 2026-07 response 8: 5.5% 2026-07 response 9: 1.2% 2026-07 response 10: 4.3% 2026-08 response 0: 18.2% 2026-08 response 1: 4.3% 2026-08 response 2: 6.8% 2026-08 response 3: 7.1% 2026-08 response 4: 8.6% 2026-08 response 5: 21.2% 2026-08 response 6: 7.1% 2026-08 response 7: 10.5% 2026-08 response 8: 6.5% 2026-08 response 9: 4.3% 2026-08 response 10: 5.5% 2026-09 response 0: 17.2% 2026-09 response 1: 6.4% 2026-09 response 2: 5.8% 2026-09 response 3: 8.0% 2026-09 response 4: 8.0% 2026-09 response 5: 23.0% 2026-09 response 6: 8.0% 2026-09 response 7: 9.8% 2026-09 response 8: 4.6% 2026-09 response 9: 3.7% 2026-09 response 10: 5.5% 2026-10 response 0: 15.7% 2026-10 response 1: 4.6% 2026-10 response 2: 9.2% 2026-10 response 3: 6.8% 2026-10 response 4: 8.3% 2026-10 response 5: 19.7% 2026-10 response 6: 7.7% 2026-10 response 7: 10.2% 2026-10 response 8: 9.5% 2026-10 response 9: 2.8% 2026-10 response 10: 5.5% May 2026 Jun 2026 Jul 2026 Aug 2026 Sep 2026 Oct 2026 Observation month Percent of responses Monthly mean

Observed Trend

Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-11 to 2026-10-27. The estimated change over that period is -0.265 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-0.704, 0.174].
Regression table

The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -0.573 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-1.522, 0.376]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.

Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-4.5939 -2.4213  0.4736  2.4234  5.6650 

Coefficients:
                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
(Intercept)       4.595451   0.131812  34.864   <2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.001569   0.001325  -1.184    0.237    
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 2.897 on 1831 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.0007649,	Adjusted R-squared:  0.0002192 
F-statistic: 1.402 on 1 and 1831 DF,  p-value: 0.2366