Ryerson Project
Ryerson Project Item 139
I personally believe it will be possible to build Artificial General Intelligence. (Artificial General Intelligence refers to a computer system that could learn to complete any intellectual task that a human being could.)
American adults' average (mean) response was 6.31 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 1,275 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-11 to 2026-09-16.
Descriptive Statistics
| Mean | 6.31 |
|---|---|
| Median | 7.00 |
| Standard deviation | 2.79 |
| N | 1,275 |
| Standard error | 0.078 |
All-Time Distribution
Comparison to Other Items
Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 67 out of 135 qualifying items and is at the 50.7 percentile.
Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.
Monthly Trend
Observed Trend
Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-11 to 2026-09-16. The estimated change over that period is 0.171 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-0.412, 0.753].Regression table
The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is 0.487 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-1.176, 2.149]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.
Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-6.3930 -1.3451 0.6509 1.7475 3.7615
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 6.237141 0.148663 41.955 <2e-16 ***
days_since_start 0.001332 0.002320 0.574 0.566
---
Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
Residual standard error: 2.788 on 1273 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.0002591, Adjusted R-squared: -0.0005263
F-statistic: 0.3299 on 1 and 1273 DF, p-value: 0.5658