Ryerson Project Ryerson Project

Ryerson Project Item 127

I believe science fiction helps people imagine better futures.

American adults' average (mean) response was 6.40 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 214 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-06-30 to 2026-10-31.

Descriptive Statistics

Mean6.40
Median7.00
Standard deviation2.45
N214
Standard error0.168

All-Time Distribution

Response 0: 8 Response 1: 1 Response 2: 7 Response 3: 8 Response 4: 11 Response 5: 39 Response 6: 31 Response 7: 39 Response 8: 26 Response 9: 16 Response 10: 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 39 Agreement (0 = maximum disagreement, 10 = maximum agreement) Count

Comparison to Other Items

Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 69 out of 142 qualifying items and is at the 51.8 percentile.

Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.

Monthly Trend

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0% 50% 100% 0 5 10 2026-06 response 0: 0.0% 2026-06 response 1: 0.0% 2026-06 response 2: 0.0% 2026-06 response 3: 0.0% 2026-06 response 4: 0.0% 2026-06 response 5: 25.0% 2026-06 response 6: 0.0% 2026-06 response 7: 50.0% 2026-06 response 8: 0.0% 2026-06 response 9: 0.0% 2026-06 response 10: 25.0% 2026-07 response 0: 0.0% 2026-07 response 1: 0.0% 2026-07 response 2: 3.3% 2026-07 response 3: 3.3% 2026-07 response 4: 3.3% 2026-07 response 5: 16.3% 2026-07 response 6: 12.0% 2026-07 response 7: 22.8% 2026-07 response 8: 12.0% 2026-07 response 9: 9.8% 2026-07 response 10: 17.4% 2026-08 response 0: 8.6% 2026-08 response 1: 0.0% 2026-08 response 2: 2.9% 2026-08 response 3: 5.7% 2026-08 response 4: 5.7% 2026-08 response 5: 8.6% 2026-08 response 6: 17.1% 2026-08 response 7: 22.9% 2026-08 response 8: 11.4% 2026-08 response 9: 2.9% 2026-08 response 10: 14.3% 2026-09 response 0: 9.4% 2026-09 response 1: 3.1% 2026-09 response 2: 9.4% 2026-09 response 3: 6.2% 2026-09 response 4: 9.4% 2026-09 response 5: 12.5% 2026-09 response 6: 9.4% 2026-09 response 7: 12.5% 2026-09 response 8: 12.5% 2026-09 response 9: 6.2% 2026-09 response 10: 9.4% 2026-10 response 0: 3.9% 2026-10 response 1: 0.0% 2026-10 response 2: 0.0% 2026-10 response 3: 2.0% 2026-10 response 4: 5.9% 2026-10 response 5: 31.4% 2026-10 response 6: 21.6% 2026-10 response 7: 7.8% 2026-10 response 8: 13.7% 2026-10 response 9: 7.8% 2026-10 response 10: 5.9% Jun 2026 Jul 2026 Aug 2026 Sep 2026 Oct 2026 Observation month Percent of responses Monthly mean

Observed Trend

Observations suggest decreasing agreement over the observed period, from 2026-06-30 to 2026-10-31. The estimated change over that period is -1.448 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-2.441, -0.456].
Regression table

The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -4.301 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-7.247, -1.355]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.

Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-6.5728 -1.3697  0.1446  1.8128  4.4163 

Coefficients:
                  Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
(Intercept)       6.996746   0.265694  26.334  < 2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.011775   0.004092  -2.877  0.00442 ** 
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 2.412 on 212 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.03759,	Adjusted R-squared:  0.03305 
F-statistic:  8.28 on 1 and 212 DF,  p-value: 0.004419