Ryerson Project Ryerson Project

Ryerson Project Item 11

I believe elections in the United States are generally administered fairly.

American adults' average (mean) response was 5.69 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 550 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-01 to 2026-08-06.

Descriptive Statistics

Mean5.69
Median6.00
Standard deviation2.93
N550
Standard error0.125

All-Time Distribution

Response 0: 52 Response 1: 14 Response 2: 26 Response 3: 35 Response 4: 35 Response 5: 71 Response 6: 71 Response 7: 81 Response 8: 62 Response 9: 53 Response 10: 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 81 Response value Count

Comparison to Other Items

Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 73 out of 123 qualifying items and is at the 41.0 percentile.

Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.

Monthly Trend

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0% 50% 100% 0 5 10 2026-05 response 0: 8.1% 2026-05 response 1: 3.0% 2026-05 response 2: 5.5% 2026-05 response 3: 5.9% 2026-05 response 4: 6.4% 2026-05 response 5: 14.8% 2026-05 response 6: 11.9% 2026-05 response 7: 14.4% 2026-05 response 8: 11.9% 2026-05 response 9: 11.4% 2026-05 response 10: 6.8% 2026-06 response 0: 10.3% 2026-06 response 1: 2.7% 2026-06 response 2: 5.0% 2026-06 response 3: 6.1% 2026-06 response 4: 5.3% 2026-06 response 5: 12.6% 2026-06 response 6: 13.7% 2026-06 response 7: 16.0% 2026-06 response 8: 9.5% 2026-06 response 9: 8.0% 2026-06 response 10: 10.7% 2026-07 response 0: 13.0% 2026-07 response 1: 0.0% 2026-07 response 2: 0.0% 2026-07 response 3: 10.9% 2026-07 response 4: 13.0% 2026-07 response 5: 4.3% 2026-07 response 6: 13.0% 2026-07 response 7: 8.7% 2026-07 response 8: 17.4% 2026-07 response 9: 10.9% 2026-07 response 10: 8.7% 2026-08 response 0: 0.0% 2026-08 response 1: 0.0% 2026-08 response 2: 0.0% 2026-08 response 3: 0.0% 2026-08 response 4: 0.0% 2026-08 response 5: 16.7% 2026-08 response 6: 16.7% 2026-08 response 7: 16.7% 2026-08 response 8: 16.7% 2026-08 response 9: 0.0% 2026-08 response 10: 33.3% May 2026 Jun 2026 Jul 2026 Aug 2026 Observation month Percent of responses Monthly mean

Observed Trend

Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-01 to 2026-08-06. The estimated change over that period is 0.198 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-0.972, 1.368].
Regression table

The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is 0.745 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-3.660, 5.150]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.

Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)

Residuals:
    Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
-5.8072 -1.7246  0.3141  2.3044  4.3702 

Coefficients:
                 Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
(Intercept)      5.621678   0.252567  22.258   <2e-16 ***
days_since_start 0.002039   0.006139   0.332     0.74    
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 2.934 on 548 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared:  0.0002012,	Adjusted R-squared:  -0.001623 
F-statistic: 0.1103 on 1 and 548 DF,  p-value: 0.7399