Ryerson Project
Ryerson Project Item 11
I believe elections in the United States are generally administered fairly.
American adults' average (mean) response was 5.64 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 634 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-01 to 2026-10-09.
Descriptive Statistics
| Mean | 5.64 |
|---|---|
| Median | 6.00 |
| Standard deviation | 2.96 |
| N | 634 |
| Standard error | 0.118 |
All-Time Distribution
Comparison to Other Items
Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 84 out of 139 qualifying items and is at the 39.9 percentile.
Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.
Monthly Trend
Observed Trend
Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-01 to 2026-10-09. The estimated change over that period is -0.493 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-1.451, 0.464].Regression table
The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -1.119 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-3.291, 1.053]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.
Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-5.7849 -1.7328 0.3438 2.3162 4.7084
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 5.784933 0.188622 30.669 <2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.003064 0.003028 -1.012 0.312
---
Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
Residual standard error: 2.96 on 632 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.001618, Adjusted R-squared: 3.803e-05
F-statistic: 1.024 on 1 and 632 DF, p-value: 0.3119