Ryerson Project
Ryerson Project Item 11
I believe elections in the United States are generally administered fairly.
American adults' average (mean) response was 5.62 on a scale of 0 (Disagree) to 10 (Agree). 685 responses have been collected (so far) from 2026-05-01 to 2026-10-30.
Descriptive Statistics
| Mean | 5.62 |
|---|---|
| Median | 6.00 |
| Standard deviation | 2.96 |
| N | 685 |
| Standard error | 0.113 |
All-Time Distribution
Comparison to Other Items
Based on all-time mean agreement, this item ranks 84 out of 142 qualifying items and is at the 41.1 percentile.
Qualifying items have 100 or more total observations. Higher means indicate more agreement and therefore a higher rank.
Monthly Trend
Observed Trend
Observations suggest unchanging agreement over the observed period, from 2026-05-01 to 2026-10-30. The estimated change over that period is -0.404 points on a 0 to 10 scale. Regression results place a 95% confidence interval around that observed-period change of [-1.222, 0.413].Regression table
The daily slope annualized over 365.25 days is -0.811 points per year, with a 95% confidence interval of [-2.452, 0.829]. This short-window annualized number is provided for reference, but the observed-period change above is the primary trend estimate.
Call:
lm(formula = response_value ~ days_since_start, data = model_data)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-5.7520 -1.7232 0.3457 2.3302 4.6479
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) 5.752038 0.174222 33.016 <2e-16 ***
days_since_start -0.002222 0.002287 -0.971 0.332
---
Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
Residual standard error: 2.962 on 683 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.00138, Adjusted R-squared: -8.218e-05
F-statistic: 0.9438 on 1 and 683 DF, p-value: 0.3316